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Morning Market Rap 02/10/22 by CTG

SPY / QQQ / Vix

SPY 5 days, hourly candles S&P futures trading in the upper end of yesterdays RTH range, ahead of the CPI report 456 the corresponding futures low

458.02 was the after hours high, before futures opened

SPY 3 months, daily candles Gap up open yesterday with the advance stopping just ahead of daily resistance/and the 50 day MA. Daily uptrend looking for continuation, but also room to tighten and look for a daily "higher low" anywhere above 443.83 if we can't get thru on this push.

457.88 the high from yesterday and first resistance with 458.12 right after

459.90 the 50 day MA

465.09 next, which starts the next chunk of volume profile that lasts up to 470-471ish

455.01 the low from yesterday and first support

451.92 open gap

451.52 the 150 day MA

450.12 the 12 ema

445.22 after that

443.85 the 200 day MA

443.83 the last daily "higher low" and spot for bulls to hold anywhere above once we start consolidation of this recent move


QQQ 5 days, hourly candles

Nasdaq futures also trading sideways in the upper end of yesterdays RTH range, awaiting the CPI report

364.90 the corresponding futures low

367.34 the after hours high, before futures opened


Testing/with a slight close over, the 200 day MA, and heading into the recent bounce high resistance from 2/2. Gap created yesterday and room for a daily "higher low" anywhere above 351.97, if we fail daily uptrend continuation on this pass and tighten up in the recent range.

366.68 the 200 day MA (366.73 the close yesterday)

366.81 the high from yesterday and first resistance

370.10 after that

373.87-376.22 resistance after that

376.12 the 150 day MA

362.12 the low from yesterday and first support

360.38 the daily 12ema

360.24 open gap

351.97 the last daily "higher low" and the spot for bulls to stay anywhere above once this recent up move starts consolidation


IWM 3 months, daily candles Gap up open yesterday and confirmation of a new daily uptrend 206.65 the high from yesterday and first resistance

Volume profile air pocket all the way up to the 210ish area where more volume starts to come back in, with the heaviest volume coming in around the 217ish area.

212.44 the 50 day MA 204.30 the low from yesterday and first support

203.12 open gap

201.82 the daily 12ema

194.92 the new daily "higher low" and the spot for bulls to pivot anywhere above once this move begins daily consolidation

Feb Vix futures 3months, daily candles Almost a full retrace of Januarys big vol spike after breaking down lower yesterday. Trying to hold up at yesterdays lows ahead of the CPI report.

Broad market Bears won't get any traction unless this starts to find a bid.

Spot Vix 3months, daily candles Slight peek below the psychological 20 level here yesterday, hovering just above currently. Lose yesterdays lows with some follow thru and we'll be looking back to the 17-19ish area.

https://www.briefing.com/stock-market-update

Futures and Treasuries hold steady in front of CPI report

10-Feb-22 07:56 ET

Market is Closed

[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +2.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -28.00.

The S&P 500 futures trade roughly in-line with fair value, as investors await the January Consumer Price Index (CPI) at 8:30 a.m. ET and digest a big round of earnings news.

The Briefing.com consensus is projecting total CPI to have increased 0.5% month-over-month, leaving it up roughly 7.3% year-over-year and near a 40-year high. A hotter-than-expected report could fuel expectations for a 50-basis-point rate hike in March, which the CME FedWatch Tool currently has a 25.0% probability of happening.

The weekly Initial Claims (Briefing.com consensus 234,000) and Continuing Claims report will be released concurrently with the CPI report, followed by the January Treasury Budget at 2:00 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, investors have been busy reviewing better-than-expected earnings reports from the likes of Walt Disney (DIS 158.00, +10.77, +7.3%), Coca-Cola (KO 61.80, +0.76, +1.3%), Uber (UBER 42.50, +2.31, +5.8%), Twilio (TWLO 243.99, +41.98, +20.8%), and Mattel (MAT 25.26, +2.51, +11.0%).

The Treasury market, like the S&P 500 futures, are holding steady in front of the inflation data. The 2-yr yield is unchanged at 1.34%, and the 10-yr yield is unchanged at 1.93%. The U.S. Dollar Index is up 0.1% to 95.54. WTI crude futures remain elevated above $90 per barrel ($90.38, +0.72, +0.8%).

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