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Market Rap 12/06/22 by CTG

SPY / QQQ / Vix

SPY 5 days, hourly candles S&P futures going sideways in the lower third of yesterdays range 400.83 the corresponding futures high

399.09 the pre mkt low

SPY 3 months, daily candles Daily consolidation continues with a test/peek below the 12ema (white) after decisively losing the 200 day MA (purple). (support)

399.94 the 12ema

398.17 the low from yesterday

393.30-393.48 the previous daily "higher low" area, and bulls will look to play defense anywhere above that level in order to maintain the uptrend on this timeframe

392.50 the 150 day MA (orange) (resistance)

403.56 200 day MA back overhead

404.93 the high from yesterday

407.86

410

411.73

QQQ 5 days, hourly candles Nasdaq futures also trading sideways in the lower third of yesterdays range 288.58 the pre mkt high

287.20 the corresponding futures low

QQQ 3 months, daily candles Daily consolidation continues as the 12ema (white) gets tested, in search of the next daily "higher low". (support)

287.02 the 12ema

286.15 the low from yesterday

279.17-279.97 the last daily "higher low" so bulls will need to play defense anywhere above there in order to maintain the uptrend on this timeframe

276.91 the 50 day MA (blue) (resistance)

291.68 the high from yesterday

292.73 the 150 day MA (orange)

293.45

295.75

Dec. Vix futures 3 months, daily candles Inside bar day yesterday within Fridays wide range as it tries to get it's "oversold" bounce going, inside bar so far today as well

Spot Vix 3 months, daily candles Daily bounce got going yesterday with a slight push over Fridays high, and test of it's 12ema, cooling off the "oversold" RSI reading in the process; Watching for any follow thru over 21.29 today.

$DXY 3months, daily candles Testing the 200 day MA (purple) from underneath

https://www.briefing.com/stock-market-update

[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +4.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +33.30.The S&P 500 futures are up 3 points and are trading roughly in line with above fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are up 24 points and are trading 0.3% above fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 19 points and are trading somewhat above fair value. The equity futures market indicates a modestly higher open as stocks try to bounce from yesterday's weakness. The Reserve Bank of Australia raised its cash rate by 25 bps to 3.10%, as expected, while pointing to the likelihood of further tightening. European Central Bank Chief Economist Lane said that he has confidence about being near the inflationary peak, but also acknowledged that more rate hikes are needed while policymaker Herodotou said that more rate hikes will take place, but neutral rates are "very close." Treasury yields are moving lower and the dollar is weakening. The U.S. Dollar Index is down 0.3% to 105.00. The 2-yr note yield is down two basis points to 4.36% and the 10-yr note yield is down four basis points to 3.56%. WTI crude oil futures are down 1.5% to $75.78/bbl and natural gas futures are down 1.6% to $5.49/mmbtu. Economic data today is limited to the October Trade Balance (Briefing.com consensus -$77.2 billion; prior -$73.3 billion) at 8:30 a.m. ET. In corporate news:

  • JP Morgan (JPM 133.28, +1.91, +1.5%): upgraded to Overweight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley

  • Alcoa (AA 47.41, +0.89, +1.9%): moving higher on reports that the US and EU are weighing new tariffs on Chinese steel and aluminum, according to Bloomberg

  • Royal Caribbean (RCL 58.19, -1.23, -2.1%): downgraded to Underweight from Overweight at JP Morgan

  • GameStop (GME 25.75, +0.19, +0.7%): has started layoffs, according to Axios

  • GitLab (GTLB 45.13, +6.80, +17.7%): beats by $0.05, beats on revs; guides Q4 EPS above consensus, revs in-line

  • PepsiCo (PEP 183.44, +0.32, +0.2%): moving higher as company plans to lay off hundreds of workers at its North American snacks and beverage division headquarters, according to The Wall Street Journal

  • Vivint Smart Home (VVNT 11.86, +2.87, +31.9%): NRG Energy (NRG) to acquire Vivint for $12 per share or $2.8 bln in an all-cash transaction

  • Signet Jewelers (SIG 62.00, +4.17, +7.2%): beats by $0.42, beats on revs; guides Q4 revs below consensus; guides FY23 EPS above consensus, revs in-line

  • AutoZone (AZO 2520.00, -6.92, -0.3%): beats by $2.17, beats on revs; Q1 domestic comps +5.6%


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