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Market Rap 10/25/22 by CTG

SPY / QQQ / Vix

SPY 5 days, hourly candles S&P futures traded in the upper end of yesterdays range, until earlier this AM when they sold off into the middle of that range 376.92 the pre mkt low

379.62 the corresponding futures high

SPY 3 months, daily candles and 3yr, weekly candles Daily trend change back to bulls here. Weekly timeframe testing the 12ema (white line) with a downtrend still in play on that timeframe up to 411.73, the 9/12 peak. (resistance)

380.06 the high from yesterday

386.90 the 50 day MA


395.96-396.20 (support)

373.11 the low from yesterday

369.30 the daily 12ema (white line)

363.54 the new daily "higher low" and spot for bulls to stay anywhere above once daily consolidation begins, in order to keep the uptrend on this timeframe

QQQ 5 days, hourly candles Nasdaq futures trading in the upper end of yesterdays range 279.20 the pre mkt high

277.45 the corresponding futures low

QQQ 3 months, daily candles Tested and held the daily 12ema (white line) yesterday and pushed above the 10/18 peak to get a daily trend change back to bulls here as well. Came within .03 of closing the 10/6-10/7 gap. Follow thru above yesterdays high would instill a bit more confidence in the trend change today. (resistance)

279.40 the high from yesterday


290.53 the 50 day MA (support)

272.12 the daily 12ema

271.97 the low from yesterday

266.82 the new daily "higher low" and spot for bulls to stay anywhere above once daily consolidation begins, in order to keep the trend in their favor on this timeframe

Nov Vix futures 3months, daily candles Hanging out near the lows from the past few days

Spot Vix 3 months, daily candles Gravitating around 30 the last few days, debating on a break lower30 the 30.95 the levels to watch to the upside

29.24 the level to watch to the downside [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -6.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +11.50.The S&P 500 futures are down 8 points and are trading 0.1% below fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are up 5 points and are trading slightly above fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are down 99 points and are trading 0.3% below fair value. Equity futures are a little lackluster this morning amid a barrage of earnings results. After a big run, market participants are perhaps aiming to take some money off the table ahead of earnings reports from Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOG) after today's close followed by Apple (AAPL), Meta Platforms (META), and Amazon (AMZN) later this week. Treasury yields are down this morning. The 10-yr note yield is down six basis points to 4.16% and the 2-yr note yield is down three basis points to 4.45%. Energy complex futures are mixed. WTI crude oil futures are down 1.0% to $83.73/bbl while natural gas futures are up 0.4% to $5.22/mmbtu. Market participants will receive the following economic data today:

  • 9:00 ET: August FHFA Housing Price Index ( consensus -0.7%; prior -0.6%), August S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index ( consensus 14.0%; prior 16.1%)

  • 10:00 ET: October Consumer Confidence ( consensus 105.5; prior 108.0)

In corporate news:

  • 3M (MMM 115.28 -3.10 -2.62%): beats by $0.10, misses on revs; lowers FY22 EPS in-line, revs below consensus

  • General Motors (GM 37.61 +1.89 +5.29%): beats by $0.37, reports revs in-line; guides FY22 EPS in-line

  • UPS (UPS 173.99 +6.44 +3.84%): beats by $0.14, reports revs in-line; reaffirms FY22 revs guidance

  • PulteGroup (PHM 37.50 -0.46 -1.21%): misses by $0.12, misses on revs

  • General Electric (GE 76.49 +3.13 +4.27%): reports Q3 (Sep) results, beats on revs; guides FY22 EPS in-line

  • Coca-Cola (KO 59.20 +1.63 +2.83%): beats by $0.05, beats on revs; issues guidance for FY22, sees organic revenue growth of 14-15%

  • Amazon (AMZN 119.70 -0.12 -0.10%): reportedly freezes hiring in parts of web services division, according to NYPost

  • Sherwin-Williams (SHW 224.00 +11.47 +5.40%): beats by $0.26, beats on revs; guides Q4 revs in-line, guides FY22 EPS in-line

  • Adidas AG (ADDYY 51.35-0.40 -0.76%): ends partnership with Kanye West, according to Bloomberg

  • Biogen (BIIB 279.36 +4.74 +1.73%): beats by $0.66, beats on revs; raises FY22 EPS mostly above consensus, revs in-line

  • Corning (GLW 30.50 -1.83 -5.66%): reports EPS in-line, revs in-line; guides Q4 core EPS and core revs below consensus

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