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Market Rap 05/11/23 by CTG

SPY / QQQ / Vix

SPY 5 days, hourly candles S&P futures pulling back in pre mkt against the highs from yesterday 414.55 the pre mkt high

412.48 the pre mkt low so far

SPY 3 months, daily candles Another day spent in the middle of the recent range, following the in line CPI report (resistance)

414.54 the high from yesterday

414.82

415.27 small open gap

417.62 (support)

411.11 the daily 12ema(white)

408.87 the low from yesterday

407.27 open gap

404.09 the 50 day MA(blue)

403.74

QQQ 5 days, hourly candles Nasdaq futures saw a push thru yesterdays high/the recent highs earlier this AM; Pulling back into yesterdays range currently here in pre mkt 326.53 the pre mkt high

324.98 the after hours low from yesterday afternoon before futures opened

QQQ 3 months and 1yr daily candles The outperformance continued with a push into levels last seen in Aug '22 following the CPI release yesterday (resistance)

326.01 the high from yesterday

326.84 the 8/19/22 high

330.49-331.43

334.42 the 8/16/22 high (support)

321.60 the low from yesterday

320.45 the daily 12ema(white)

315.12-316.21


May Vix futures 3 months, daily candles Yesterdays bounce attempt reversed by the close, and found some lower lows on the week; Trading in the bottom half of yesterdays range currently

Spot Vix 3 months, daily candles Some movement yesterday following the CPI report that ultimately went nowhere; Trading just above the lows from the past week

TLT 3 months, daily candles Another test and hold of the lower end of the recent daily range, as the daily bounce gets underway off those levels

https://www.briefing.com/stock-market-update [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -5.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +12.00.The S&P 500 futures are down 5 points and are trading 0.1% below fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are up 11 points and are trading 0.1% above fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are down 118 points and are trading 0.3% below fair value. Stock futures are softer this morning. Disney has been a drag on the broader market after disappointing with quarterly results. The Nasdaq 100 futures have outperformed somewhat thanks to premarket gains in some mega cap stocks. Concerns about the debt ceiling continue to weigh on sentiment along with renewed weakness in the regional bank stocks after PacWest (PACW) reported an approx. 9.5% decline in deposits for the week ending May 5. Treasury Secretary Yellen issued a fresh warning, saying that a default would be "unthinkable" and that it would undermine the global economy. Former President Trump said in a live town hall, hosted by CNN, that the GOP should let a default happen if Democrats don't agree to spending cuts. The Bank of England voted 7-2 to raise its base rate by 25 bps to 4.50%, as expected. China's April CPI increased at its slowest yr/yr pace since early 2021 while PPI fell at its fastest rate since 2020, triggering some concerns about the pace of its economic rebound in conjunction with weaker than expected new loan data. Market participants are awaiting the U.S. Producer Price Index for April, along with weekly jobless claims at 8:30 a.m. ET. Treasury yields are moving lower. The 2-yr note yield is down four basis points to 3.87% and the 10-yr note yield is down four basis points to 3.40%. The U.S. Dollar Index is up 0% to 101.84. In corporate news:

  • Walt Disney (DIS 95.60, -5.54, -5.5%): misses by $0.01, reports revs in-line, Disney+ subscribers down 2% yr/yr, DTC operating loss decreased by $200 mln; Reaffirms FY23 revenue and operating income growth guidance; announces One App Experience bundled streaming product

  • Robinhood Markets (HOOD 9.42, +0.35, +3.4%): beats by $0.04, beats on revs; will soon introduce 24 hour trading on weekdays in stocks, according to WSJ

  • Sonos (SONO 16.32, -4.83, -22.8%): misses by $0.06, beats on revs; guides FY23 revs below consensus

  • Unity Software (U 31.36, +2.62, +9.1%): reports Q1 (Mar) results, beats on revs; guides Q2 revs above consensus; reaffirms FY23 revs guidance

  • AppLovin (APP 20.85, +3.04, +17.1%): misses by $0.07, beats on revs; guides Q2 revs above consensus

  • The Trade Desk (TTD 67.36, +2.39, +3.7%): beats by $0.11, beats on revs; guides Q2 revs above consensus; promotes Laura Schenkein to CFO; AI to remain a strategic focus going forward

  • JD.com (JD 36.17, +1.07, +3.1%): beats by $1.27, reports revs in-line; announces CEO Lei Xu plans to retire for personal reasons; current CFO Sandy Ran Xu will be appointed new CEO

  • Tapestry (TPR 40.60, +3.46, +9.3%): beats by $0.18, beats on revs; raises FY23 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus

  • Northrop Grumman (NOC 438.45, -4.58, -1.0%): downgrade to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays

  • PacWest Bancorp (PACW 4.82, -1.2500, -20.6%): company says deposits decline approx. 9.5% for week ending May 5, with bulk of decline occurring May 4-5


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