top of page

Market Rap 05/06/22 by CTG

SPY / QQQ / Vix

SPY 5 days, hourly candles S&P futures testing yesterdays lower range, ahead of the April jobs report at 8:30 et 410.73 the corresponding futures low so far

415.17 the after hours high from yesterday, before futures opened

SPY 3 months, daily candles Nasty reversal of the post Fed surge from Wednesday; the daily bounce failed right at the last daily "lower high" area as the daily/weekly downtrend continues and we re-test the lows from Monday (support)

409.44 the low from yesterday

405.02 Monday's low

*Zooming out to the weekly chart next to find the next levels if that breaks and we see follow thru (resistance)

423.76 the daily 12ema

425 the high from yesterday

429.66 after that

SPY 3yr, weekly candles If we lose Monday's low, next levels of support go back to March '21 400.67 a weekly gap from back then

392.81 next

383.90 after that

QQQ 5 days, hourly candles Nasdaq futures also testing yesterdays flush lows 310.19 the corresponding futures low so far

314.87 the after hours high from yesterday, before futures opened

QQQ 3 months, daily candles Same story here, nasty reversal of the post Fed bounce and failure at the last daily "lower high", as the daily/weekly downtrend continues. Re-testing Monday's low and teetering on a break and flush to the next levels if we start to see follow thru under that area. (support)

309.62 the low from yesterday

*Zooming out to the weekly chart next to find the lower levels if we break (resistance)

324.77 the daily 12ema

325.25 the high from yesterday

330.29 after that

QQQ 3yr, weekly candles Weekly downtrend on the verge of more continuation (Next support after yesterdays lows goes back to March '21) 307.39


May Vix futures 3 months, daily candles HUGE move up yesterday and massive whipsaw after a pretty sizeable vol crush earlier in the week. Right back to testing recent highs. Extremely elevated prices currently, so for this to take the next leg higher we'd need to see the broad market indices take the next leg lower.

Spot Vix 3 months, daily candles After a big move and volatility crush lower post Fed Wednesday to the mid 20s, we whipsawed back the other way up to test recent highs, as the broad markets immediately reversed their Wed. gains right after open; Same story here as May Vix futures - to take the next sizeable leg higher we'd need to see the broad market indices flush the recent lows with some follow thru, and take the next leg lower

TLT 3 months, daily candles Big flush on volume to the next leg lower, daily RSI right back to oversold conditions, zooming out to the weekly, then the monthly next to get the bigger picture context

TLT 3yr, weekly candles Weekly RSI getting more beaten up, currently 22ish, which was where we saw a decent counter-trend bounce back in March

TLT 5yr, monthly candles Monthly RSI now clicking oversold for the first time in at least 5 years If yesterdays lows can't hold 111.90 is the next big level on this timeframe, going back to November of 2018

10 Yr hanging near the highs

Stocks above the 200day at the recent lows

DXY new recent high, backed off a little

SPY weekly flat on the week coming into today

weekly 400.67 gap^

QQQ flat as well resting on weekly support / bottom of channel

at yesterdays close

clean slate