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Market Rap 04/04/22 by CTG

SPY / QQQ / Vix

SPY 5 days, hourly candles

S&P futures trading near the upper end of Friday's RTH range/futures range 451.97 the corresponding futures low

454.16 the corresponding futures high

SPY 3months, daily candles Weak action most of Friday turned into a hammer candle off the daily 12ema (white line) by the close, after a late day reversal. Potential daily bull flag in play if those Friday lows hold, and we pivot back higher to test the recent highs.(support)

451.03 the 150 day MA

449.48 the 12ema

449.14 the low from Friday

447.42 the 200 day MA

443.71 the last daily "higher low" and spot for bulls to stay anywhere above on this daily consolidation, in order to keep the uptrend on this timeframe

440.15 the 50 day MA(resistance)

453.46 the high from Friday - trading right around there currently

458.76 after that

461.20-462.07 the recent highs

QQQ 5 days, hourly candles Nasdaq futures with similar action, trading up near Fridays RTH highs/futures highs

360.51 the corresponding futures low

363.73 the corresponding futures high so far

QQQ 3 months, daily candles Also a hammer candle here from Friday, and attempting to hold up above the daily 12ema (white line) for a potential daily bull flag, as it looks to find the next daily "higher low".(support)

358.59 the low from Friday and first support

357.65 the daily 12ema

351.59 after that

348.50 the 50 day MA(resistance)

363.61 the high from Friday looking to get tested first thing

367.60 after that

369.02 the 200 day MA

371.25 the 150 day MA

371.83 the recent high

IWM 3 months, daily candles Also looking for the next daily "higher low" here, within the context of a current daily uptrend; potentially off the daily 12ema (white line) as well. Watching to see if the low from Friday holds, and we can pivot back higher to test recent highs.(support)

205.77 that daily 12ema

205.01 the low from Friday(resistance)

207.72 the high from Friday - trading right there currently and looking to get tested first thing

208.91 after that

211.74-212.25 the recent highs

XLU 1yr, daily candles New all time highs and blue sky breakout underway here

April Vix futures 3 months, daily candles Already starting to break under Friday's lows here, leaving a daily bear flag as a possibility 23.50-23.60 the highs from the bounce to end last week, get over that level and the daily bear flag gets negated

21.54 the recent lows from last Wednesday

Spot Vix 3 months, daily candles Similar story here - daily bear flag possible if vol bulls can't get back over that 21.48 high from last Thursday. 23-24ish area would come into view after that.

Currently back testing 20 psychological as "support" after seeing it's daily bounce attempt to end last week; which came off those historical RSI levels where that was typical behavior in the past

https://www.briefing.com/stock-market-update Futures edge higher despite host of concerns

04-Apr-22 07:58 ET

Market is Closed

[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +10.60. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +50.80.

The S&P 500 futures trade 11 points, or 0.2%, above fair value to start the week, as the market continues to weather a host of growth-related concerns.

Some of those concerns include the prolonged Russia-Ukraine situation, the COVID lockdowns in Shanghai, the potential for a Fed policy mistake, the 2s10s spread inversion, supply chain disruptions, and an inflationary environment that includes $100/bbl oil prices ($100.29, +1.02, +1.0%).

In corporate news, Twitter (TWTR 48.80, +9.49, +24.1%) has jumped 24% in pre-market action after Elon Musk disclosed a 9.2% stake in the company. Tesla (TSLA 1090.43, +5.84, +0.5%) reported over 310,000 vehicle deliveries in the first quarter. Starbucks (SBUX 89.02, -2.47, -2.7%) suspended its share buyback program.

The Treasury market is trading little changed, although the 30-yr yield has risen four basis points to 2.46% after dropping 18 basis points last week. The 2-yr yield is unchanged at 2.43%, and the 10-yr yield is up one basis point to 2.39%. The U.S. Dollar Index is up 0.3% to 98.88.

Today's economic data will be limited to Factory Orders for February (Briefing.com consensus -0.6%), which will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.


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