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Market Rap 02/23/22 by CTG

SPY / QQQ / Vix

SPY 5 days, hourly candles S&P futures trading sideways in the middle of yesterdays range 434.16 the corresponding futures high

429.57 the after hours low before futures opened

SPY 3 months, daily candles Testing the January lows, looking for a weekly "higher low" above that 420.76 level 425.86 the low from yesterday and first support on this timeframe

420.76 January low after that 435.50 the high from yesterday and first resistance

438.66 after that

441.48 the 12ema overhead

444.74 the 200 day MA

Anything under 448.06 (whenever the daily bounce gets going) is just another daily "lower high"

QQQ 5 days, hourly candles Nasdaq futures showing some relative strength, trading up closer to the higher end of yesterdays range 342.96 the corresponding futures high

338.07 the after hours low, before futures opened

QQQ 3 months, daily candles (and daily chart showing the Nasdaq futures break of the Jan. lows) Tested the January lows yesterday and held in the RTH session. Bulls trying to set a weekly "higher low" above those levels. 334.35 the low from yesterday and first support on this timeframe

334.15 the January low

326.90-328.28 next weekly support if that doesn't hold

316 area next major weekly support 344.04 the high from yesterday and first resistance

346.81 after that

350.40 the daily 12ema overhead

IWM 3 months, daily candles Follow thru on loss of the daily uptrend, with weekly consolidation underway and looking for a weekly higher low anywhere above the January lows of 188.09 194.92-195.35 first support

188.09 after that 200.45 the high from yesterday and first resistance

March Vix futures 3 months, daily candles Tested the January highs here yesterday early AM before rejecting at those highs and backing off.

Tested yesterdays lows early this AM but so far has held above.

Spot Vix 3 months, daily candles Tested 2/14 highs here yesterday before backing off, and still well under January highs. Daily consolidation of this recent move underway with the break of yesterdays lows. Looking for a "higher low" anywhere above 23.88. Futures try to rebound after S&P 500 closed in correction territory

23-Feb-22 08:00 ET

Market is Closed

[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +37.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +159.00.The S&P 500 futures trade 38 points, or 0.9%, above fair value as investors try to take advantage of the geopolitical-driven weakness. The benchmark index closed yesterday in correction territory, or down 10% from its record closing high.

Since yesterday's close, Ukraine has declared a state of emergency for at least 30 days and has begun mobilizing its reserves to prepare for armed conflict. President Biden canceled his meeting with President Putin, and Secretary of State Blinken canceled his meeting with Russia's foreign minister.

The indications outside the futures market signal a belief that the worst-case scenario isn't likely, at least for now with the multitude of sanctions imposed on Russia. The 10-yr yield is up two basis points to 1.97%. Gold futures are down 0.6% to $1895.50/ozt. The U.S. Dollar Index is down 0.1% to 95.90.

The market also seems less bothered by hawkish Fed expectations, which continue to play out in the shorter-dated segment of the Treasury market. The 2-yr yield is up another five basis points to 1.60%.

Lowe's (LOW 219.99, +5.40, +2.5%), meanwhile, is an earnings standout after beating top and bottom-line estimates and guiding FY23 EPS above consensus. TJX Companies (TXJ 60.50, -4.75, -7.3%) is heading the other way after missing revenue estimates.

Separately, the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index dropped 13.1% following a 5.4% decline in the prior week.

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