SPY / QQQ / Vix
SPY 5 days, hourly candles S&P futures testing the recent highs from Monday, as we shape up for the gap up open 402.96 the pre mkt high so far
399.73 the after hours low from yesterday before futures opened
SPY 3 months, daily candles Daily consolidation stopped just short of the 50 day MA(blue) yesterday, before reversing to test recent highs and close back above the 200 day MA (purple). (support)
395.25 the 200 day MA
395.10 the daily 12ema(white)
393.56 the low from yesterday
393.01 the 50 day MA
390.51 the 150 day MA(orange)
387.26 the last daily "higher low" (resistance)
400.70 the high from yesterday - trading above there now for the gap up set up
402.65 the high from Monday - also starting to peek thru that level
405.50
410.49
QQQ 5 days, hourly candles Nasdaq futures also testing/starting to push thru recent highs 290.88 the pre mkt high so far
287 the after hours low from yesterday before futures opened
QQQ 3 months, daily candles The next round of daily consolidation got underway here yesterday also, and paused/reversed at the 12ema(white) - which has provided support for all pullbacks so far this year, after price pushed above that level on 1/6. (support)
281.18 the low from yesterday
280.90 the daily 12ema
279.18 the 50 day MA(blue)
275.71
273.89 the last daily "higher low" (resistance)
288.36 the high from yesterday - trading above there currently for the gap up open
290.21 Mondays high - trading right around that level currently
293 the 200 day MA(purple)
296.88
Feb. Vix futures 3 months, daily candles
Starting to peek thru to new lows, pushed right back into "oversold" territory on the daily timeframe
Spot Vix 3 months, daily candles
Unable to get back above/stay above that 20 level, which is an encouraging sign for broad market equity bulls
https://www.briefing.com/stock-market-update
[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +19.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +112.30.The S&P 500 futures are up 19 points and are trading 0.5% above fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are up 111 points and are trading 0.9% above fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 41 points and are trading 0.1% above fair value.
Equity futures indicate a higher open following Tesla's (TSLA) earnings report, which is driving a continued rebound effort in the mega cap space and bolstering the broader market on a busy earnings reporting day. Investors are also anticipating the potentially market-moving advanced Q4 GDP reading and weekly initial claims data at 8:30 a.m. ET, cognizant that they may have implications for the Fed's rate hike path.
Treasury yields are inching higher ahead of the release. The 2-yr note yield is up one basis point to 4.15% and the 10-yr note yield is up two basis points to 3.48%. The U.S. Dollar Index is up 0.1% to 101.75.
Energy complex futures are mixed. WTI crude oil futures are up 1.3% to $81.16/bbl and natural gas futures are down 4.5% to $2.78/mmbtu.
Today's data releases include:
8:30 a.m. ET: Advance Q4 GDP (Briefing.com consensus 2.6%; prior 3.2%), advance Q4 Chain Deflator (Briefing.com consensus 3.2%; prior 4.4%), December Durable Orders (Briefing.com consensus 2.9%; prior -2.1%), Durable Orders ex-transportation (Briefing.com consensus -0.2%; prior 0.2%), weekly Initial Claims (Briefing.com consensus 205,000; prior 190,000), Continuing Claims (prior 1.647 mln), December advance goods trade deficit (prior -$83.30 bln), December advance Retail Inventories (prior -0.3%), and December advance Wholesale Inventories (prior 1.0%)
10:00 ET: December New Home Sales (Briefing.com consensus 614,000; prior 640,000)
10:30 ET: Weekly natural gas inventories (prior -82 bcf)
In corporate news:
Tesla (TLSA 154.36, +9.93, +6.9%): beats by $0.08, reports revs in-line, automotive gross margin down 466 bps yr/yr, guides for 1.8 mln vehicles in FY23, which is ahead of its long-term 50% CAGR target; thus far in January it has seen the strongest orders YTD in its history
Sherwin-Williams (SHW 224.85, -22.24, -9.0%): beats by $0.04, reports revs in-line; guides FY23 EPS below consensus, revs below consensus
Southwest Airlines (LUV 36.02, -0.85, -2.3%): misses by $0.27, reports revs in-line; guides Q1 revs below consensus; Dept of Transportation is probing scheduling meltdown, according to WSJ
Northrop Grumman (NOC 468.00, +4.71, +1.0%): beats by $0.93, beats on revs; guides FY23 revs above consensus
IBM (IBM 137.93, -2.83, -2.0%): misses by $0.01, beats on revs; announced it will cut about 3,900 jobs, or roughly 1.5% of its workforce, according to Bloomberg
Dow (DOW 56.22, -1.67, -2.9%): misses by $0.11, misses on revs
Chevron (CVX 184.93, +5.85, +3.3%): authorizes $75 bln stock repurchase program and increases quarterly divided by 6% to $1.51/share
Lam Research (LRCX 481.85, -6.55, -1.3%): beats by $0.71, beats on revs; guides Q3 EPS below consensus, revs below consensus
Comcast (CMCSA 39.70, -0.40, -1.0%): beats by $0.04, reports revs in-line; increases quarterly dividend to $0.29 from $0.27/share
ServiceNow (NOW 442.00, -6.77, -1.5%): beats by $0.26, reports revs in-line
STMicroelectronics (STM 45.09, +1.76, +4.1%): beats by $0.22, beats on revs; guides Q1 revs above consensus
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